by Carl on September 10, 2008
So today finds me at CTIA in San Francisco and in a twelve hour news blackout. Imagine my surprise when upon leaving the Mascone center I get back-to-back calls from two friends regarding my blog post yesterday where I predicted that Obama / Axelrod might throw the dead weight of Joe Biden over the rail or under the bus in favor of Hillary, whom they should’ve taken in the first place. Seems I may have called the play.
Today Biden actually said that “perhaps he was not the best choice for the VP slot”. Now that he has opened the door, he certainly made it much easier for the Obama people to call an audible and replace him with a woman who should be at the top of their ticket. To the detractors from yesterday, I would just like to say “I told you so.”
Keep in mind, my views here are strictly Machiavellian. Under full disclosure I hope that Obama does not switch horses. Give human nature, enough middle-of-the-road voters currently swayed towards McCain could in fact swing back if they had the genuine article, rather than a stand-in to vote for.
This does not mean I believe Sarah Palen is a stand-in. To the base of the party she is certainly the real thing and replacing Biden would have no impact on their votes. However we need to keep in mind that this election will be a squeaker and if the Obama Axelrod team can pick up an extra point or two with Hillary but they will make the move.
What I know for sure it’s going to be an interesting eight weeks.
– Carl / Blogvious
by Carl on September 9, 2008
If there is ANY way that David Axelrod can dump Biden and grab Hillary, he would do it in a heartbeat. The loyalty there is zero and the upside thus far has been nill. With ballots going to press, and an election less than 60 days away however, it would be a true Hail Mary pass, but one he would clearly make if he could.
Biden has delivered ZERO to the ticket thus far, and their chemistry, at least from what we can see on video, is not good. McCain on the other hand has hit the proverbial Jack Pot. Sarah Palin is a HUGE hit and Republican Rock Star – something we never see. An Obama switch to Hillary would enliven the race and absolutely guarantee a Democratic win…but that’s where it gets complicated.
The problem would be ‘how’ to accomplish this. If a piano fell on Biden or he slid under the proverbial bus, it would be easy enough. Hillary could come to the aid of her party in its hour of need. Barring such a calamity, it would take a voluntary withdrawl on Biden’s part (with something approaching a sincere excuse) to make such an entrance possible. Cleary the odds are against it.
However, two months from now, as we are counting the votes in another 50/50 squeeker – and likely swearing in John McCain and Sarah Palin, the Axelrod team will be conteplating what might have been.
I lived most of my life in Chicago and have seen the bare-knuckle politics of that city up close and personal. Obama’s team, led by David Axelrod is cut from this cloth. They are smart. They are ruthless. They are in this to win. If they can pull this off, they will. Here’s hoping they do not.
– Carl Melville / Blogvious