From the monthly archives:

September 2008

Paulson on Punishment

by Carl on September 25, 2008

I get that the point of this bailout is not punishment. However, if I made a ten million dollar mistake I would probably be fired. If one of my people made such a mistake, they would get the axe – assuming the company even survived.

So how is that the smartest guys in the room can make mistakes that total over $1.3 trillion — and get away with it? Why is it that people that were prudent are bailing out the no-limit morons that took on debt loads they cannot afford? Why are we rewarding this? 

By the way, the most guilty party of all, the US Congress (along with the Clinton and Bush administrations) lit the fuse and kept stoking this fire. I doubt you will hear many mia culpas from their ranks.

Once again, the party is over. Once again we are cleaning it up. Time to clean the erasers.

– Carl / Blogvious

 

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A Crisis of Confidence…in Whom?

by Carl on September 22, 2008

Hank Paulson took to the airwaves yesterday pitching his plan to (again) save the financial system with a huge $1.3 trillion (total) bailout.

That’s a big bet.  Plus, we get to increase the national debt by another 10% – to well over $11 trillion.

He says we are doing all of this to calm the stock and bond markets, releive the credit crunch and restore confidence in the American economy.  Um…OK, but I have a question.

Who is doing the ‘restoring’here?  Just who is on this team to restore confidence?

  • Is this the same team that took us into Iraq?
  • The same team that coughed up the ball once we were there? 
  • The same team that squandered tens of billions cleaning up self-generated messes in that failed execution? 
  • Is this the same team that responded to Katrina? 
  • The same team that was as inept as the clueless Governor and Mayor of that corrupt state / city?
  • The same team that appointed cronies to key positions of responsibility and oversight?
  • Is this the same team that turned a blind eye to lax regulation?
  • The same team that allowed congress to use Fannie / Freddie as a third-party enrichment tool?
  • Is the team that has run up big government deficits that would make LBJ and FDR blush?

Is this the team that is RESTORING confidence?  Am I missing something here?

The air is thick with talking heads and know-it-alls espousing tons of theories on why Paulson is wrong or right. The truth is none of them know. Let me repeat that. None of them know. Nor do the walk-and-talks that are repeating someone elses’ less than grounded assessment. We’ve not been here before and I’ve not seen a single historic parallel that provides a solid analog – which is itself an assessment on my part.

The reason we are seeing all of this chattering – in addition to the magnificent egos spewing it forth – is the reality that we have so little confidence in this team to get it right, and at a time when the stakes could not possibly be higher.

Economic historians now agree that moves made by Republican and Democratic administrations created, deepened and prolonged the Great Depression. The thing is, it took 50 years to figure that out. It may be our kids that finally determine if what we are doing now is the right course of action, or a path of folly.

Were this action coming from an administration founded on solid principals and with a roster of significant wins and accomplishments, I (and many others) would be much more comfortable.

You are a smart and well-respected man Mr. Paulson, but your team has some credibility issues. Restore confidence? OK Mr. Paulson, but it begins at home.

– Carl / Blogvious

 

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Eamus Catuli – 100 Years!!!! The Year of the CUBS?

September 20, 2008

A few weeks ago I blogged about this being the 100 year anniversary of the Cubs last World Series win. Well today, just moments ago, they took the first big step in that direction. No matter what else happens this year the Chicago Cubs are the Central division National League champions. For those keeping track, [...]

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Here comes the Blame Game: We Want a Scapegoat

September 18, 2008

A dear friend forwarded an article that went to great pains blaming the flawed and idealistic policies of the Clinton administration for the current financial mess.  Really?  The article has merit – but at the same time misses the point entirely. If you begin lining up culprits, the line will be long indeed. Let’s find [...]

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Look Me in the Eye and Say That…

September 17, 2008

Not long ago you had to look your banker in the eye while he probed the depth of your character. We discarded that system to make it more uniform, fair and to minimize risks. Today’s mess is the face of progress. When I bought my first new car, I sat across from a man that asked [...]

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Where Were You When World Changed?

September 11, 2008

I’m sitting in San Francisco International Airport waiting for my flight. It’s 9/11/08. Seven years ago today the world was going mad. Today the air is thick with 9/11 tributes, which I find completely fitting and proper. Those touched personally of course have a special kinship with the event that the rest of us have been spared. I [...]

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Joe Biden Said What?

September 10, 2008

So today finds me at CTIA in San Francisco and in a twelve hour news blackout. Imagine my surprise when upon leaving the Mascone center I get back-to-back calls from two friends regarding my blog post yesterday where I predicted that Obama / Axelrod might throw the dead weight of Joe Biden over the rail or under the [...]

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Goodbye Biden, Hello Hillary…

September 9, 2008

If there is ANY way that David Axelrod can dump Biden and grab Hillary, he would do it in a heartbeat. The loyalty there is zero and the upside thus far has been nill. With ballots going to press, and an election less than 60 days away however, it would be a true Hail Mary [...]

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1908 to 2008: What a Long Strange Trip It’s Been!

September 9, 2008

There were two historic milestones in 1908. The world saw the Ford Model-T for the very first time, and the Chicago Cubs won the World Series for the very last time. Even my beloved Wrigley Field was not built until six years later, 1914. Could this be the year? Could this be the end of the [...]

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More Shrinking Returns…

September 8, 2008

On a personal note, I have a problem that is both frustrating and engaging at the same time. Those that know me are aware of the considerable girth I have unwisely accumulated in the past few years.  Much of it is still in place but a considerable portion is melting away. The problem you ask?  [...]

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